主播大秀

This week is all about predictions, polling and risk taking - what do current polls tell us about who might win the 2024 presidential race? We get a behind the scenes look at how statisticians make their predictions, and how accurate they are. Our guest Nate Silver developed a forecasting system which correctly predicted the outcome of the presidential election in 49 out of 50 states in 2008, and all 50 states in 2012. He also talks to Marianna and Sarah about his new book on risk - On the Edge - and his journey from professional poker playing to politics.

HOSTS:
Sarah Smith, 主播大秀 North America Editor
Marianna Spring, 主播大秀 Disinformation & Social Media Correspondent

GUEST:
Nate Silver, U.S. election forecaster and stastician. Founder of FiveThirtyEight and the Silver bulletin, and author of On The Edge.

GET IN TOUCH:
鈥� Join our online community: https://discord.gg/qSrxqNcmRB
鈥� Send us a message or voice note via WhatsApp to +44 330 123 9480
鈥� Email Americast@bbc.co.uk
鈥� Or use #Americast

This episode was made by Keiligh Baker with Purvee Pattni, Catherine Fusillo and Claire Betzer . The technical producer was Mike Regaard. The series producer is Purvee Pattni. The senior news editor is Sam Bonham.

If you want to be notified every time we publish a new episode, please subscribe to us on 主播大秀 Sounds by hitting the subscribe button on the app.

You can now listen to Americast on a smart speaker. If you want to listen, just say "Ask 主播大秀 Sounds to play Americast鈥�. It works on most smart speakers.

US Election Unspun: Sign up for Anthony鈥檚 主播大秀 newsletter: /news/world-us-canada-68093155

Americast is part of the 主播大秀 News Podcasts family of podcasts. The team that makes Americast also makes lots of other podcasts, including The Global Story, The Today Podcast, and of course Newscast and Ukrainecast. If you enjoy Americast (and if you're reading this then you hopefully do), then we think that you will enjoy some of our other pods too. See links below.

The Global Story: /sounds/brand/w13xtvsd
The Today Podcast: /sounds/brand/p0gg4k6r
Newscast: /sounds/series/p05299nl
Ukrainecast: /sounds/brand/p0bqztzm

Show less