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A tricky local forecast this weekend...

Ian Fergusson | 21:37 UK time, Friday, 6 November 2009

What a decidedlyÌýpesky forecast this is proving - especially at a local level.

There's much riding on getting things right, or at least thereabouts.

Take, for example, the this evening; innumerable fireworks displays being held over three evenings across our region; and the not-too-small matter of an FA Cup 1st Round match being played at .

So no pressure there, then.Ìý

But for this evening at least, so far, so good...

I highlighted today on and local radio what I dubbed a 'window of opportunity' for a while this evening, for holding outdoor events free of inclement weather. Effectively, a spell of dry or largely dry weather prevailing for the first part of the evening, after we'd lostÌýthat band of light to moderate rainfall from earlier this afternoon

But I also stressed that some heavy, squally showers would emerge later from the westÌý- especially after 9pm.

Met Office rainfall radar for the evening of Friday, 6 November 2009As it happens, this risk of heavier rainfall has manifested itself almost exactly on-cueÌýas a line of quite conspicuous organisation - and yes, even weather can be 'organised' -Ìýshowing well onÌýthe regional rainfall radar (see above). Further showers will now follow through tonight, perhaps accompanied by a flash or two of lightning, especially for those districts of SomersetÌýbordering the Bristol Channel.

Hail falls from a Cumulonimbus over Bradley Stoke in 2008. Similar scenes for some tomorrow (Saturday)?Tomorrow, weÌýwitnessÌýa potential footballing upset - and perhaps another noteworthy -Ìýunfolding as Paulton RoversÌýtake-on Norwich City. I'm expecting a sunny, dry but distinctly autumnal feel to the weather at kick-off (12.45pm), with the very real chance of squally showers arriving as the match continues, especially towards the end.

We have a starting tomorrow at 12.15pm, so I'll update your weather prospects during that inaugural bulletin...Ìýoh yes, just ahead of the Paulton kick-off.Ìý

Pressure...Ìý what pressure?

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